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From the University of Freiburg (Dr. Mockenhaupt and J. Schlingmann), Freiburg, Germany; GlaxoSmithKline (Dr. Messenheimer), Research Triangle Park, NC; and RTI Health Solutions (Dr. Tennis), Research Triangle Park, NC.
Address correspondence and reprint requests to Dr. Patricia Tennis, RTI Health Solutions, 3040 Cornwallis Road, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709; e-mail: ptennis{at}rti.org
Background: Estimates of risk of StevensJohnson syndrome (SJS) and toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN) associated with some antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) have used denominators based on the number of prescriptions or daily doses. Because the risk of SJS is highest in new users of drugs, the use of denominators reflective of all users can lead to low estimates of risk associated with drugs. In this study, risk in new users is assessed.
Methods: Data on all hospitalized patients with SJS and TEN with use of carbamazepine (CBZ), lamotrigine (LTG), phenobarbital (PHB), phenytoin (PHT), or valproic acid (VPA) were obtained from the German Registry for Serious Cutaneous Reactions. For 19982001, the numbers of new users were estimated from number of dispensed prescriptions in Germany, the average prescribed doses, and the duration of use in the Mediplus database (IMS Health) Germany, and assumptions that relate new use to growth in national dispensings. To minimize the probability of underestimating risk in new users, conservative estimates of new use that were somewhat lower than predicted from national prescription data were used.
Results: More than 90% of SJS and TEN cases occurred in the first 63 days of AED use. Over the 4 years, increases in dispensing were 5% for CBZ, 65% for LTG, 6% for PHB, 16% for PHT, and 26% for VPA. Across a range of assumptions about frequency of incident use, the risk estimates vary between 1 and 10 per 10,000 new users for CBZ, LTG, PHT, and PHY and were consistently lower for VPA.
Conclusion: Across a range of assumptions used, the risk of hospitalization for StevensJohnson syndrome or toxic epidermal necrolysis in new users is low for carbamazepine, lamotrigine, phenytoin, phenobarbital, and valproic acid. Because conservative incidence use fractions were used, it is likely that some risks were overestimated.
Additional material related to this article can be found on the Neurology Web site. Go to www.neurology.org and scroll down the Table of Contents for the April 12 issue to find the title link for this article.
The research was sponsored by GlaxoSmithKline.
P.T. is a former employee of GSK and is currently employed by RTI Health Solutions, which has been contracted by GSK to conduct this and other research. M.M. has received a research grant from GSK. J.M. is currently employed by GSK.
Received May 14, 2004. Accepted in final form December 23, 2004.
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